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Again more than 11,000 new infections: for Lauterbach Germany is heading for lockdown politics

The new requirements in the fight against the spread of the coronavirus are not yet reflected in the statistics – the number of new infections in Germany remains high: on Sunday morning, the Robert Koch Institute (RKI) reported 11,176 new infections within 24 hours, although the number cases on Sunday is even lower because not all health authorities provide data to the RKI.

SPD health expert and epidemiologist Karl Lauterbach advocates for even more stringent conditions with a view to development. “Unfortunately, the restrictions now decided are not enough to prevent overcrowded intensive care units and a significant increase in the death rate in December. We have to adjust ”, he said to“ Bild am Sonntag ”. “If we don’t manage to limit personal contacts over the next two to three weeks, the numbers will have risen so much in a few weeks that we will only have a lockdown,” Lauterbach warned.

He advocated expanding the option of working from home. The SPD politician also suggested making school classes smaller. “If we don’t want schools with regular early school leaving to become hotspots, the school classes now need to be divided into morning and afternoon classes.” Any contact, anywhere, can be contaminated. “It is no longer enough to be careful and adhere to the AHA + L rules (distance, hygiene, everyday masks and ventilation, ie the editor.”

On Saturday, Chancellor Angela Merkel (CDU) addressed people in Germany with an unusual video podcast, urging them to minimize social contact. The Federal Government announced that the Chancellor wanted to underline how serious the current situation was during the pandemic.

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A new study shows just how much the first lockdown in the spring put the Germans under psychological stress. According to the Frankfurter Allgemeine Sonntagszeitung (FAS), after a preliminary evaluation of the Nako health study, for which 113,000 Germans were questioned, the symptoms of anxiety, stress and depression had increased especially in the 20- to 50-year-old group. In some cases, the study participants’ values ​​had deteriorated to such an extent that a significant increase in depression could occur, which, however, must be confirmed by a medical diagnosis in individual cases.

Most affected women into their thirties

“The psychological stress in the young to middle age, between 20 and late 40s, was particularly high,” said Klaus Berger, the head of the neurological-psychiatric illness study. Women in their late 30s were most affected The situation was different with the older participants in the study: in the group older than 60 years, the researchers could not identify an increase in depressive symptoms.

According to Berger, there are also big differences in regional comparison: “We saw a greater increase in stress and anxiety among respondents in regions particularly hard hit by Covid-19,” he told the “FAS.” In the north and northeast, where the number of corona cases was lower, stress symptoms were significantly less pronounced. People who had to have a corona test therefore had a higher psychological burden – whatever the result was in the end.

Main study: starting position better than in the spring

In view of possible further serious limitations in daily life this winter, the head of the study said, “Anyone who has been through a crisis usually learns to deal with new crises.” The starting position is therefore better than in the spring.

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Before Merkel and the state prime ministers met again next week, calls for tougher and especially more uniform corona rules had grown louder at the weekend. Minister of Economic Affairs Peter Altmaier called the contagion situation dramatic and at the same time warned against the economic shutdown.

“There should be no new, comprehensive lockdown, and I don’t think it’s necessary,” he told Essen Funke media group newspapers. It depends on decisive action, the economy minister said, calling on federal and state governments to “make the necessary decisions with greater unanimity in the coming days.”

The chairman of the Association for Wholesale and Foreign Trade, Anton Börner, also called for stricter measures. “We must keep the pandemic under control under all circumstances to prevent another shutdown,” said the Federal Association of Wholesale, Foreign Trade and Services (PGI) head of “Bild am Sonntag”. This requires “an even closer closure of public life”. “The longer we wait, the greater the damage to people’s health and also to the economy. It is now better to act decisively, even if it is painful, so that we do not run out of time, ”he explained.

Again less long-distance travelers

Deutsche Bahn gives an indication that more and more people are changing their everyday behavior again. After a massive slump caused by the pandemic in the spring, mobility in Germany stabilized back to pre-crisis levels in the summer, “Spiegel” said; According to a spokesman, the volume of long-haul traffic on the railways was again around 75 percent of the level that was usual before Corona.

Now more people are canceling the train journey again. “Since the beginning of October, we have been registering increasing uncertainty among our long-haul customers, while the volume of regional traffic has remained stable,” said the DB spokesperson for the dpa news agency. “Business travel and long-term bookings are particularly affected in long-distance transport, which is not surprising given current developments and discussions.”

More than 10,000 Covid-19 deaths

According to information from the RKI, the number of new infections on Sunday remained above the threshold of 10,000 for the fourth day in a row. The newly reported infections are due to the time between infection, test, result and report as an indication of how strong the virus was in society about a week ago. That is why it takes a while before measures by politicians are reflected in the statistics.

The total number of infections in Germany since the start of the pandemic has risen to 429,181. On Saturday morning, the RKI announced the previous maximum number of new infections in Germany with 14,714 cases. But also cases that were already registered on Thursday, but were only reported to the RKI on Friday due to technical problems. The number of deaths in Germany from the virus increased by 29 to a total of 10,032.

The number of new infections in Germany has been well above the earlier peaks in spring for days. The values ​​are only comparable to a limited extent, as significantly more tests are carried out now than then. However, the positive rate of tests, now one of the most important indicators of a country’s contamination rate, has risen significantly in recent weeks.

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The number of coronavirus tests has fluctuated between 1.1 million and 1.2 million per week since mid-August. The percentage of positive tests rose from 0.74 percent at the end of August to 3.62 percent in the week of October 12-18. A week earlier the value was 2.49 percent, before that it was 1.66.

It is also a cause for concern that significantly more elderly people are now becoming infected again than in the summer months. This group is considered to be at particular risk of serious illness requiring hospitalization.

Clinics: intensive capacities are sufficient

In contrast to Lauterbach, the German clinics do not consider the situation of the clinics that threatening. “The hospitals are very alarmed without being hectic”, the director of the German Hospital Association Georg Baum told the “Mannheimer Morgen”. At the moment, there are still many intensive care beds available in Germany, unlike in other countries. The number of free beds has increased over the weekend. Places indicated by approximately 8000.

Delaying unnecessary treatments could free up another 10,000 beds, Baum said. “In addition, not all patients who come to hospital with a coronavirus infection require intensive medical treatment,” said Baum. “The capabilities will be enough for a long time before it becomes questionable.”

According to the RKI situation report on Saturday, the number of reproductions, or R-value for short, was 1.36 in Germany (the day before: 1.23). This means that ten infected people infect nearly 14 other people. The R-value represents the contamination rate approximately one and a half weeks in advance. In addition, the RKI states a so-called seven-day R in its management report. The value relates to a longer period and is therefore less subject to daily fluctuations. According to estimates by the RKI, this value was 1.38 on Saturday (day before: 1.30). It shows the infection process from 8 to 16 days ago.

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